According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. Nate Silver to FiveThirtyEight Critics: 'Fuck You, We Did a Good Job' Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! They also review the mostly finalized congressional maps for the cycle and discuss new polling on American polarization. The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. The crew discusses the Virginia and new Jersey gubernatorial races a week before election day, and guesses how Americans feel about the potential provisions in the Democrats spending bill. In light of new data showing union membership at its lowest point since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began counting, they also look at how that decline has shaped U.S. politics. Senior writer and legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discusses how the Justices approached the question and what Americans think about abortion policy. Hosts of the British Talking Politics podcast, David Runciman and Helen Thompson, discuss why the British public and some members of the Conservative Party have soured on Johnson in a way that Republicans never soured on President Trump, despite his numerous scandals. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19 The Ticket - A Presidential Podcast comes from the Texas Tribune. Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Ta-Nehisi Coates and Nikole Hannah-Jones July 30, 2021 Every Tuesday and Friday, Ezra Klein invites you into a conversation about something that matters, like. The crew discusses how Bidens approval rating may impact the midterm election, whether tracking Google search terms over time is a better barometer than traditional polling, and how Black voters are changing the political landscape of Georgia. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. Join. In her new book How Civil Wars Start And How To Stop Them, Barbara F Walter writes we are now closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. The crew plays an Independence Day-inspired statistics game and discusses how the most recent Jan. 6 hearing could affect how Americans view former President Donald Trump. Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. To mark a year since Russias full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. Five Thirty-Eight sometimes referred to as 538, focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - lavamusic.is They also have a good or bad use of polling on the topic of death and consider whether a recent Facebook hearing will lead to new regulations for the monolithic technology company. PODCAST-19 brings you the latest evidence on the COVID-19 pandemic. [00:00:19] His new book is called "The Engagement: Americas Quarter-Century Struggle Over Same-Sex Marriage.". Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. The crew discusses what legal debates are currently playing out, what the decision could mean for the future of Roe v. Wade, and where Americans stand on abortion restrictions in general. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. The Supreme Court Not So Much. Welcome to Internet Archive TV News! The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. Conversations with Tyler | Listen to Tyler Cowen's Official Podcast The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. Listeners wanted to know what to make of the NYC mayoral race, whether primary races tell us anything about the midterm elections, what voting system is the best, the likelihood of filibuster reform and, of course, whether or not hot dogs can be considered sandwiches. Republican Mayra Flores won the special election in Texass 34th congressional district on Tuesday, avoiding a runoff and flipping the longtime Democratic seat in Texass Rio Grande Valley. The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. FiveThirtyEight Politics (podcast) | Listen online - Free - No signup American politics has changed a lot in the twenty years since the 9/11 terrorist attacks. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. 10 Wednesday AM Reads. The crew discusses two elections in Ohio this week that will test the sway of the establishment in both parties. Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. They also talk about what states are doing with their billions in excess cash and look into opinion polling on the U.S.s involvement in Ukraine. By May 21, 2021 0 . Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. The Johnson & Johnson Pause Shows The System Is Working The crew discusses which states will determine the balance of both chambers and what theyve learned from this election so far. NEW TOWN . Cautionary Tales with Tim Harford on Stitcher The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. New rules for the baseball season, Richard Belzer dies and more prison for Harvey Weinstein and R. Kelly | Bonus sports & entertainment episode. We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who wrote an article titled I blew it. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Stitcher 2022 FiveThirtyEight Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to "fix polling" and why Vice President Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. 30, 2021 How The CDC's Blindspots Complicated The Fight Against COVID-19 By Maggie Koerth and Sinduja Srinivasan Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. Good Sport on Apple Podcasts The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. This is the final FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast episode of the Trump presidency. FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. 3 min read. Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what's behind the recent movement in the forecast and answer questions from listeners. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. Just another site fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. FiveThirtyEight Politics News Latest Transcripts How To Make Polls Better 240 views about 2 years ago 01:12:44 Galen Druke speaks with two A+ rated pollsters, J. Ann Selzer and Patrick Murray, about how they view the challenges of polling and what can be done about them. The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. In 2021, cities around the country are choosing mayors to try to lead them through a long list of challenges, both pre-existing and brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. Nate Silver is back from his book research/poker trip to Las Vegas, and in this installment, he sits down with Galen Druke to answer listener questions and talk about what he learned on the strip. The majority of the coverage did not show signs of bias, such as articles on immigration, midterm elections and the Jan. 6 hearings. Podcast Transcripts of FiveThirtyEight | Happy Scribe fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. The crew hosts its first-ever 2024 Republican primary draft (they plan to follow up next week with a 2024 Democratic primary draft). Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. Given some of the caveats in the poll, the crew asks whether it's a good or bad use of polling. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. This is the final episode. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterms primaries. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. - In her first-ever diary entry, recorded eight days after President John F. Kennedy is assassinated, Lady Bird presents a dramatic, cinematically detailed moment-by-moment account of those terrible hours in Dallas, and the days that follow. What Liz Cheney might do next | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. It's a busy week! Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. The crew discusses the races to watch in Tuesday night's primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky. Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative Revolutionaries Who Remade American Politics in the 1990s.". Whereas Tester . Edit your transcribed text. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Apple Podcasts 200 episodes FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News News 4.5 19.2K Ratings FEB 21, 2023 What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection It's a busy week! We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. Dive in and Share your insights! Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. 04:58 PM. They also look at the politics of two hot button issues in the Senate and speak with Carlos Odio of Equis Research about how Latino voters are viewing the two parties in 2022. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. What's the Point (FiveThirtyEight Podcast) Theme - SoundCloud Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes : The The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. New episodes release Tuesdays, Thursdays, and Sundays. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. gold rush supreme second chance winners. The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. Democrat Melanie Stansbury won a special election in New Mexico's first congressional district by a 25-point margin last Tuesday, performing better than Democrats did in the district in 2020. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. The crew discusses what we've learned from President Biden's first 100 days in office and from his first address to a joint session of Congress. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless' The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. Economics Professor at George Washington University, Tara Sinclair, joins to explain what is going on with the economy and the potential consequences of a spike in prices. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. FiveThirtyEight Politics Show - PodCenter - ESPN Radio Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isn't At FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. All you have to do is click the iTunes button below to subscribe to this podcast. Galen speaks with him. FiveThirtyEight Politics - Listen to All Episodes | News - TuneIn If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. Schwartz and McMenamin: 11/29/21. They also consider Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema's motivations for registering as an independent and look at the latest polling on a potential presidential primary matchup between Florida Gov. Feb. 28GLASTONBURY When Jonathan K. Luiz starts work as town manager March 31, he will be making $190,000 per year. You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour.
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