most overrated running backs of all time

However, the floor is lower than the surrounding running backs in cost. He has good hands, but his route running hurt his opportunities to make clean catches against man-to-man coverage. Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB22. You wrote in to criticize me immediately following a 4-0 win against Forest where, for the first time all season, Moyes bowed to enormous pressure and played a back 4, told Declan to actually be . Chris "Beanie" Wells. In addition, Antonio Gibson finished the year banged up and ceding snaps to McKissic. The more problematic issue is that the Texans are a train wreck. Expect some early-season force-feeding of Etienne until there's a realization that the usage is predictable and inefficient. There are plenty of clarified RB1 types later in the draft to avoid taking the variable shot on Williams. Even if Winston wins the competition and keeps the New Orleans passing game afloat, Kamara will have a hard time repeating last year's 21 total touchdowns. This slideshow lists the most underrated and overrated quarterbacks, running backs and receivers in the NFL, and the choices might shock you. Andrew Davenport: I've had ample opportunities to draft Gaskin and just haven't been able to do it. History has shown us that Harris's ADP will likely move into Round 2 or 3 as the next few months pass. Ben Cummins: Im a big fan of Antonio Gibsons talent, but he will have to overcome a lot of hurdles to pay off his current ADP. Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay | Consensus Rankings RB30 | Consensus Projections RB27. James Brimacombe: I view Melvin Gordon III this season a lot like I viewed Leonard Fournette in Jacksonville last offseason. In 2020, James Conner ranked 36th and Benny Snell ranked 54th in expected yards-per-carry out of 55 qualifiers, a sign of a weak offensive line and scheme. 2 fantasy back this year is a dubious decision. Chad Parsons: As much as Taylor is an overt talent and a potentially elite RB1 in a best-case scenario. Byars is the only running back in modern NFL history taken in the first 10 picks of the draft who had at least 800 career carries and a per-carry average of 3.6 yards or worse. Davis was great in relief of Christian McCaffrey in Carolina last year, but he got tired quickly. Color me skeptical Sanders has a new ceiling for receiving production with Scott and Gainwell passing game-centric options, and Howard could be a goal-line option. Andrew Davenport: Fournette's production in the playoffs was artificially inflated by the injury to Ronald Jones II, and part of Fournette's regular-season fantasy production last year was due to his pass-catching role. However, Melvin Gordon III returning is the lynchpin for tepid upside expectations outside of a Gordon injury. The only other way for one of them to achieve high-end RB1 value would be an injury that allows the other to see an increased workload. Austin Ekeler, LA Chargers | Consensus Rankings RB9 | Consensus Projections RB9. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. But when we look closer, The Bus only averages 1,050 rushing yards per year and 7 touchdowns, far from elite stats. McKissic. J.K. McKissic, Washington | Consensus Rankings RB47 | Consensus Projections RB45. Swift relied heavily on touchdown production for his fantasy numbers. Investing in Sanders as your RB2 is likely to leave you feeling disappointed. Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB19. Etienne's selection early in the late first signals he should have an immediate opportunity, especially with a new coaching staff in place. Travis Etienne, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB26 | Consensus Projections RB26. Got the exact same number of carries as Williams. He's never carried the ball more than 132 times in a season. 9 Tim Brown Via nfl.com I was one of many who publicly voiced outrage over the fact that Tim Brown had to wait until 2015 get his Hall of Fame honor. The first thing that pops out at us is that Jerome Bettis 3.9 YPC is a good deal lower than the offensive lines mark of 4.29 (ADY). He also is a touchdown liability -- he's scored 5, 6, and 4 touchdowns in three of his four seasons (11 the other season), which had led to finishing outside the Top 25 each of those years. McDaniels is someone who deploys multiple backs throughout the course of the game. If you're optimistic about the Lions running game, take Williams at a deep discount from Swift's highly aspirational price tag. He doesnt have that much of a skill set difference with Malcolm Brown and Salvon Ahmed either. So what's the concern? Preseason may help a little. Bettis was also a nonfactor in the passing game. Gibsons problems with fumbles have been a complaint of Ron Rivera, and he has already shown it is not gone in the preseason. It all depends on who works best in the new scheme and if the scheme works. They will be pass-dominant inside the five-yard line, which doesn't help Edwards-Helaire's fantasy stock. Jamaal Williams is a fine receiver, route runner, and red-zone back who will limit Swift's upside to a low-end fantasy RB2, at best. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. Barry Sanders 3. His production waned down the stretch in Carolina last year, and when was the last time we cared about an Atlanta running back in fantasy football anyway? Even if he receives most of the early-down and passing game work, it still wont be very valuable on a putrid offense. only site on the planet. Dave Kluge: The 49ers drafted Trey Sermon and Elijah Mitchell and signed free agent Wayne Gallman. Robinsons workload will dramatically decrease this season, and drafters arent taking that into account as much as they should. Cohen is strictly limited to passing-down work, and the numbers suggest that he isn't outstanding in that role either. In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look . Jerome Bettis 16. The Brazilian won the Ballon d'Or in 2005 and has been inducted into the Milan hall of fame for his impact between 2008 and 2011 before heading back to his homeland. Gordon is a massive red flag at his ADP. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup 5. Tatum Bell isn't the only Lions running back of the 2000s to get snakebitten. Gordon's arrow is pointing down for 2021, and he could be marginalized as the season goes on because the team also likes free agent signing Mike Boone. A veteran, a trade, or another team's roster cut is more likely to be the bigger threat. As a rookie, Montgomery was a disappointment, averaging just 10.7 fantasy points per game. But drafting him as a high-upside No. Curtis Martin 11. Sigmund Bloom: One year after the signing of Gordon indicated a lack of faith in Phillip Lindsay -- that bore out with Lindsay being allowed to leave in free agency this offseason -- the Broncos moved up in the second round to take Javonte Williams, indicating a lack of faith in Gordon. His week one status is in doubt, and there are reports he may not be ready for 12-15 touch workloads until October. Here are some stats from footballoutsiders.com: * Note: ADY = adjusted line yards, PSR = power success rank, SR = stuff ranking Average ADY: 4.29 Average PSR: 11th Average SR: 9th * These stats werent kept until 1996, so this doesnt include Bettis first 3 years in the NFL. Barry Sanders is easily the best ever. Matt Waldman: After studying Swift's best weeks in 2020, the Lions' offseason acquisitions, and Coach Lynn's analysis of his backs, I'm less enthusiastic about Swift. Chad Parsons: Travis Etienne and Carlos Hyde were both chosen additions by the new Jaguars regime with either Round 1 pedigree (Etienne) or a productive NFL profile (Hyde). As well as he played in the postseason, Fournette is still an inefficient committee back ticketed to share work with Ronald Jones II and Giovani Bernard. 1 cornerstone. Jordan McNamara: Malcom Brown drew the starter role in the first preseason game, and the team has shown the willingness to change starters against conventional wisdom when Gaskin was a surprise starter in Week 1. In five games without Mark Ingram II in 2020, Dobbins only out-carried Gus Edwards 13 to 11.6. Sigmund Bloom: The Raiders are going to adopt a frustrating Patriots-style committee at running back under Josh McDaniels, which means that Jacobs will be at best Damien Harris in this offense. However, his footwork and explosiveness in tight spaces allowed him to slip would-be tacklers with consistency. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback will gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. Top 10 Most Overrated NFL Players of All Time. Jacobs is not the alpha; he's one of many in the Vegas backfield. When I was comparing Bettis stats to the the 3 RBs I mentioned above, I saw that Bettis was highly overrated. Barring an injury to Chubb, Hunt will drive you crazy trying to figure out when to start him as anything other than a flex option. He's a workout warrior - I get that, but whether or not he recovers immediately from this injury is yet to be seen, and because there is a doubt, he's someone I am avoiding at nearly all costs. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your Earl Campbell 9. Links to similar discussions on other positions: 12 Quarterbacks11 Tight Ends28 Wide Receivers25 Running Backs, 10 Quarterbacks12 Tight Ends23 Wide Receivers25 Running Backs, 9 Quarterbacks11 Tight Ends15 Wide Receivers13 Running Backs. Pat Fitzmaurice: First, a hat tip: For a guy who was a nonfactor in Purdue's offense for four years and was mostly a special-teamer in his first four NFL seasons, Mostert turned out to be a pretty good running back. His value is trending in the wrong direction. Chad Parsons: Cohen is coming off an injury, and Damien Williams is a notable veteran addition to the depth chart. Chad Parsons: Malcolm Brown looks, at a minimum, like a strong 1B option but did get the start and most of the snaps with Tua Tagovailoa with the first team in the initial preseason game. "Matthew Berry, ESPN. Swift has already broken the injury seal with a groin issue in camp, and Jamaal Williams has already been spoken of highly as a potential 1A to Swift's No. David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB27 | Consensus Projections RB31. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. With talented guys like Brady, Manning, Brees, Rodgers. Edgerrin James 17. Without the volume, it is going to be difficult to get decent fantasy numbers. Jamal Lewis rushed for nearly 3,400 yards in the first two seasons back from his ACL tear. Coach Brian Flores comes from New England, where they liked employing a committee, and now they have come out publicly to say this will, in fact, be a committee in Miami. Downing, USA Today Sports. Thurman Thomas 14. Although the rookie saw an uptick in usage throughout his first season, he managed to eclipse 66% of his teams snaps just once. McKissic returns from injury to his role as the pass-catching back, and Washington also drafted Brian Robinson Jr in the third round. In 2012, Adrian Peterson ran for a near record-breaking 2,097 yards.. Ben Cummins: Robinson was an awesome story in 2020 as he just kept producing while seeing 21.43 opportunities per game (6th most in the league) from Weeks 1-16. If you look at Bettis total career marks, you will see that he is 5th on the all time rushing yards list and 10th in TDs. The team added Brian Robinson Jr Jr. on day two of the draft while retaining J.D. Now, these guys are treated with all the respect of disposable diapers. Jordan McNamara: The news on Saquon Barkley does not reassure me. The notorious "Frankenstein" graphic did him no favors. Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. 3) Micah Richards. The Top Ten. Jonathan Morris: Gibson was already someone I was worried about getting enough volume to be drafted at his current ADP. Unlike Lindsay, Williams can supplant Gordon at the goal line, and there's some possibility that Williams takes over the backfield right away. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. Jonathan Morris: I can't endorse a high pick on Javonte Williams when he will yield a lot of work to Melvin Gordon III. The investment in veteran wideout Sammy Watkins and rookies Rashod Bateman and Tylan Wallace almost cements Dobbinss capped upside in the passing game. He's playing for his fifth team in seven seasons and has never been an instinctive runner. Expect a more even split in touches than many are forecasting and potentially for Brown to earn the lead role. This was largely in line with his previous year's 10.7 per game which allowed him to plod his way to an uninspiring RB24 finish. The 4.29 ADY by the Steelers offensive line would be tied for 8th place in the NFL in 2009. But then he missed a game, the Bears had a bye, and he finished at a torrid pace of 25.7 points per game as the overall RB1 from Weeks 12 to 17. There isnt much to like here. Victoria Geary: Sanders had the second-worst catch rate in the league last year among running backs, catching only 56% of his targets and dropping eight passes along the way (tied for most with Ezekiel Elliot). Dave Kluge: Sure, youre not giving up any crazy draft capital to get J.D. Pat Fitzmaurice: The Buccaneers' playoff run was the best four-game stretch for Fournette since the early part of the 2019 season. If he is still on the opening day roster, his workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. At 5-foot-6 and 191 pounds, Cohen is too small and one-dimensional to be used as a lead back even if David Montgomery gets hurt. Phil Alexander: Drew Brees is arguably the best screen game quarterback in NFL history. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB26. McKissic on your fantasy squad, but his outlier of a 2020 season is going to cause some to reach for him heading into 2021. The only defense in that group to finish above the bottom quartile in Football Outsiders' rush defense DVOA metric was Green Bay, who allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to enemy running backs last season. Jim Brown Jim Brown spent a little less than a decade playing for the Cleveland Browns between 1957 and 1965, but that was enough time to prove he's likely the greatest running back to ever play the game and one of the greatest NFL players of all time. Christian McCaffery and Nick Chubb, running backs. Andrew Davenport: Montgomery was the 26th-ranked PPR running back in points per game at 12.2 a contest through nine games last year. Gaskin may be the top option for now, but that could change with a strong outing from veteran Malcolm Brown or Salvon Ahmed. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. Matt Waldman: Gaskin displayed underrated skills last year and has become a favorite sleeper in the fantasy community. Ryan Hester: Even before he played double-digit snaps in the most meaningless of all meaningless preseason games, Jacobs was a solid fade. 3 back on the depth chart before the first preseason game. Heading into this season, their offensive line is mediocre, their quarterback situation is a mess, they have a new coach, and the rest of the skill position players are uninspiring. Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. Scoring at least once in 9 games (16 gms total) yields a 56% chance of a score in each game. This year, his new head coach -- Josh McDaniels -- is an offensive mind who made his career in schemes that utilized multiple backs as specialists for each situation. Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer (MGM) #26. I am a heretic in that regard. I'm out. McKissic this offseason and added Alabama running back Brian Robinson Jr Jr. in the 3rd round of the NFL draft. Robinson can be successful this year, but he will need luck and to earn the trust of the new coaching staff. Should drafters trust the first 25 games of his career where he was a compiler with minimal ceiling or the final six games against bad defenses in 2020? Draft capital is not a predictor of talent as much as a predictor of opportunity. Harris stayed an extra year in college to improve his draft capital, and rightfully so, as the 2020 class was filled with elite running back talent. Think about that for a moment. With an almost entirely new coaching staff, quarterback and receivers, it is difficult to trust that Swift will be worth his asking price. There are no guarantees he fits with what Atlanta wants to do or whether he has the endurance to handle a workload after last year's use. Alvin Kamara, New Orleans | Consensus Rankings RB3 | Consensus Projections RB2. I believe he should be elected because he was able to maintain a good level of consistency throughout his 13 years. Overrated Sleepers Running Backs Values Overrated Sleepers The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Brown has more power and better acceleration and change-of-direction quickness than Gaskin, who is the better receiver. Additionally, Brandon Bolden -- a member of Josh McDaniels' Patriot teams -- is with the club. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. Cam Akers, LA Rams | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB13. Unfortunately for him, the team replaced the coaching staff that he impressed and signed veteran Carlos Hyde and drafted Travis Etienne in the first round. Montgomery hasn't turned a corner in his career arc. And Hill is only touchable due to the cheat code rushing factor for quarterbacks. Harris has the potential to be this year's Clyde Edwards-Helaire, as he may end up burning us relative to his climbing ADP. Sep 20, 2020; Tampa, Florida, USA; Carolina . Jeff Haseley: Clyde Edwards-Helaire has all of the tools and skills to be a successful fantasy back but failing to finish runs in the end zone has slowed his progress. If he is still on the opening day roster, Gordon's workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. James Brimacombe: Once Kenyan Drake was out of the picture, we shot Edmonds up the draft board naturally. While Hunt has moderate standalone value playing alongside Chubb, he'll need to either break a long run, vulture a touchdown at the goal-line, or catch a score to help you win a weekly matchup -- all things that are difficult to bank on. Dillon is maturing as a receiver and might be used in that facet of the game despite his size profile suggesting hes a bruiser. His career YPC was 3.9. He made general managers look like geniuses with more than 2,000 total yards and 20 touchdowns in 2016. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. Then we have the Taysom Hill conundrum. Gibson was even in the game after Robinson was out. 24 Overrated RBs. Single Barry Sanders - 15, averaged one 50-plus-yard TD every 204 carries. Now we can extinguish any hopes of Jacobs getting more involved in the passing game. Nick Chubb, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB10 | Consensus Projections RB11. The next season he hit bottom with a knee injury that damaged his ACL, MCL, and meniscus. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB22. Henderson was arguably the best blocking fullback during the late 90s, paving the way for nine 1,000 yard rushers in his 12 years in Green Bay. Anthony Amico: Dobbins is being drafted as if he has a far greater stranglehold on this Ravens backfield than he likely will. In Week 16 of the 2011 season, Adrian Peterson tore his ACL and returned as the #1 overall running back in 2012. Malcolm Brown has also been an underrated commodity for some time now and gets a shot to compete with Gaskin for significant playing time. Gibson has also been struggling with fumbles in training camp, which have drawn the ire of the Commanders coaching staff. Gibson is more likely to lose his job than return a significant profit on his draft price. But drafting him as a high-upside No. Andy Hicks: If people are using a fourth or fifth-round pick on Myles Gaskin, they will end up disappointed. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. The 49ers traded up to draft Trey Sermon, they brought in Wayne Gallman as a free agent, and Jeff Wilson is still around. Anthony Amico: The new regime for the Raiders is not particularly reassuring of Jacobs' role with the team. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. That's right, Fournette was cut by the Jaguars, and I think the same could happen with Gordon entering this season. Worst of all, he is now playing on the Houston Texans, who have no identity on offense heading into the season. most overrated running backs of all time. That makes me want to be high on Josh Jacobs, but unfortunately, all reports point to a backfield by committee. McKissic, one the league's better pass-catching backs. Pat Fitzmaurice: The appeal is that he's an inexpensive lead back. Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020. Not to mention I expect this offense to throw the ball a lot more than last year due to the addition of Russell Wilson and new Head Coach Nathaniel Hackett.

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